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FASB - Killer of Banks (and the economy as we know it…)

Tuesday, June 1st, 2010

If you think it is possible that the economy has not seen enough distress in this recent period, look out; the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) looks to ride onto the financial battlefield with bayonets affixed, and indiscriminately end any signs of financial life.

FASB’s latest move to mark-to-market bank’s balance sheets and specifically their loan portfolios will devastate the entire industry. This is a not a small bank versus big bank issue. Current capital standards will not be anywhere near sufficient to keep any size bank in regulatory compliance.

It will reinforce the devastating pro-cyclical nature of our current financial and regulatory structure at a time when exactly the opposite is needed. It greatly undermines the availability of credit at a time when it is so sorely needed. The entire economy will suffer as banks withhold lending, and change the types of lending that have become so commonplace. Long maturity loans, such as the most common 30 year fixed rate mortgage, will become a thing of the past, as variable rate loans become the only type banks will pursue.  Even loans that are performing perfectly would likely need to be written down from the day they are made. How will loans made on the concept of character, or relationship be made in this environment? As most Community Banks move to capture relationships from their clients, FASB will penalize this approach, as it forces the mark down of any loan, and will be based on highly speculative information in a very depressed marketplace.

Bank capital levels, already under stress, will again be under assault, not because of real losses, but because of a rule making change.  This may in fact be one of the biggest accounting changes we have ever seen.

The volatility of interest rates, and the stimulative effects of the Federal Reserve easing could potentially have the effect of wiping out bank capital when any tightening begins to take place. In other words, just as the economy would begin to brighten, FASB would be standing ready to deliver a fatal blow to any resurgence.

FASB needs to reconsider this ill-timed move, and allow for the proper discussions to take place, and carefully consider all the ramifications that this will have to not only our financial system, but to the entire economy.

Banking’s New Normal…

Wednesday, May 5th, 2010

Are you prepared for the “new normal” in the banking and lending environment? Our economy has seen the pendulum swing from where the majority of lending was in fact done on bank balance sheets to the recent past where more than seventy percent of all lending was done by non-bank financial companies…

With the collapse of the non-bank financial company’s ability to fund themselves; the re-intermediation of lending by traditional banks is occurring.

This will have a profound effect on your business. It will mean that banks will be able to choose which customers they want to do business with, and will not have the same competitive pressures from the non-banks…

The Regulatory Reform Legislation now on the Senate Floor will impact the financial industry more than any other legislation since the Great Depression.

In combination, these two events will change the landscape for all financial services dramatically… Individuals and companies needing financing will once again need to have a relationship with a bank.  Many of the largest banks will be placed under severe stress as they are required to choose the business they really want to be in. Increased capital needs and additional regulatory burdens will cause many banks to turn inward and evaluate the profitability of each line of business. There will certainly be a cost for all this turmoil. The largest banks have already increased the cost of doing business by reducing branches, staff, and service, and at the same time increasing fees on customer accounts. (Have you checked your bank statement lately?)

What does this all mean for the consumer or business client?

First -The customers that develop relationships with banks will have access to credit that might not be available to those who do not.

Second -Re-intermediation will return lending to bank balance sheets.

Third - The cost of credit will rise.  Without a relationship, it will be difficult to contain the rising cost of credit, or its scarcity.

Relationship banking has come roaring back into vogue… Those who believe that the status-quo is still at work will find themselves without a chair now that the music has stopped. The “Too Big to Serve” institutions will be too distracted by all this “change” to really care about their customers…

For all the community banks, this is the gift that keeps on giving…

Do you have a relationship with your bank?

Tuesday, April 13th, 2010

Relationship: A state involving mutual dealings between people or parties…

In today’s financial environment, it is important to understand if you have a relationship with your bank or are you just doing business with them on their terms… Today at most banks, there are forces at work that may negatively impact your business, and may have nothing to do with how well you are running your business…

The “Too Big to Fail” have found that they no longer need to take any risk in making loans and instead make enormous profits borrowing at near zero percent from our own government and investing those same funds into risk free Treasury securities and have indiscriminately reduced lending across all segments of business. They have now become “Too Big to Serve.”

National Banks make lending decisions based on models that typically do not account for individual achievement or success, but rather on computer generated forecasts on the profitability, or unprofitability of a sector. The same banks, who offered express loans with no documentation, are the ones who shut off credit once the economic crises ensued.

Most banks have decided to raise fees on ordinary products as their balance sheets are shrinking due to less loan demand.

In response to increased regulatory pressure, some banks have reduced lending even to worthy borrowers in asset classes that may not be popular with the regulators.

So, an important question you must ask yourself is… Do you have a relationship with your bank?

Does your bank understand your entire business?

Do you have someone that you can talk to about your needs? Right now?

Do you have a banker that you can call for advice?

Is the bank you are doing business with continuing to lend in this environment or not? Is their primary business in line with yours?

Is your bank under regulatory scrutiny? And how might that affect your business needs?

Do you feel that your bank cares about your business?

It is time to step back, and ask these simple but tough questions before your business is affected… Most will wait until there is an issue, but the smart entrepreneur will be proactive, learn about the macro forces potentially affecting their business, and create the type of relationship necessary to survive and prosper.

NJCB’s 2009 Chairman’s letter to Shareholders

Sunday, March 28th, 2010

2009… In a year that most would use the words challenging, difficult, disastrous, or turmoil to describe, North Jersey Community Bank had the vision to see through the fog of the economic and financial collapse to record its finest year.

The highlights of our accomplishments are as follows:

Growth of our total Assets of $137 million to $515 million

Growth of our total loans of $93 million to $393 million

Growth of our total deposits of $115 million to $429 million

The acquisition of Citizen’s Community Bank in Ridgewood through the FDIC

The opening of our first Hudson County branch in West New York

The re-location of our Corporate Headquarters

Raising of  $10.5 million dollars in capital

 This was accomplished while earning over $2.2 million in profit or almost $1.00 per share. 

 Unlike many other struggling community banks, NJCB has been able to realize these results without the use of any TARP funds, or any other government assistance. Our model has been a simple one; we take in deposits, and make sound loans to qualified borrowers in the communities we serve. We have certainly taken advantage of the market place that is littered with the national banks that while being “Too Big to Fail” are also “Too Big to Serve” and have left many long term relationship customers twisting in the wind.  Our local community bank competitors have likewise frozen up in their ability to make any decisions, and have equally hurt their loyal customer base. These factors combined with our award winning customer service and technological prowess have created the best performing and fastest growing bank in the State.

 North Jersey Community Bank recently celebrated its Five Year Anniversary, and as we advance into 2010 look to take advantage of additional market opportunities.  Our network of customers spans the entire Northern part of NJ from Route 195 to the New York State Border, and beyond. We have developed some of the most robust product offerings in the industry, and have been recognized in the press and media for our proactive, innovative business plan.

 This has translated into value creation for our shareholders. Our Book Value per common share has increased from inception, an unprecedented 40 % to over $13.20 per share common. We appreciate all your support and look forward to continuing to serve you in 2010.

 Sincerely,

 Frank Sorrentino III

Chairman /CEO

Confused about what is a “bank?”

Wednesday, February 10th, 2010

Before we can seek to fix all the ills of the financial crises, we should first look to a simple task; define “what is a bank?”

The recent announcements and discussion about Glass/Steagall  by President Obama, and Paul Volker although soothing to the populist movement , only serve to confuse an issue that is poorly understand by the vast majority of people.  That populist rage has been further demonstrated recently by movements such as Arianna Huffington’s “Move Your Money” campaign.

There are many types of banks and financial institutions in the United States. The vast majority of them in number are the community oriented commercial banks and thrifts. They number over 5,000 strong and have never been the subject of any inquiry due to excessive compensation, risky trading activity, securitization issues, sub-prime loan funding or investing, or any of the issues we see in the newspapers each day. These banks should be placed in class all to themselves, and should not have to fight or pay for the sins of the other much riskier institutions.  This “A” class of banks should live in a world that encourages the lending required in the communities they serve. As for the rest, some difficult, expensive and bold decisions need to be made, namely:

  • Definitive segregation of banks that use Federal Guarantees such as FDIC and borrowing capability at the Federal Reserve and those that do not
  • The breakup or dissolution of any company determined to be Too Big to Fail, based not just on size, rather complexity and interconnectedness.
  • An additional “FDIC” type of insurance fund for banks based on total assets that are not in the “A” Class and have riskier balance sheets
  • An increasing capital structure for banks as they increase in size, and complexity
  • A regulatory environment that creates tougher realistic stress testing
  • The ability to wind down or place into receivership any company or bank
  • An onerous tax to be levied on any company or bank that decides to undo or “giveback” any government assistance that was beneficial during the financial crises, which created a windfall profit

So, let’s first work to segregate what are called banks, and start to work on a regulatory environment which makes sense for each of these different classes. Only then can we move from the morass we are in, to an environment that encourages healthy growth in our economy and without people asking where to purchase a pitchfork.

Lend, lend, lend…

Saturday, December 19th, 2009

President Obama and Fed Chairman Bernanke call for increased lending from all banks…  The fact is, demand for loans is decreasing for both qualified business and consumer borrowers. Calling out for banks to lend more is akin to pushing on a string… The real question is who is willing to make loans to those that are in need? The largest national banks are using the wide spread in the yield curve that Fed Policy has created to make tremendous returns without having to take any risk in making loans. They borrow at near zero to buy long dated Government backed securities and make a guaranteed spread. On the other hand, community banks like our own North Jersey Community Bank have actually benefitted by taking a larger slice from this shrinking pie of lending… Community banks are currently the only segment of the industry that has actually increased lending, especially to small business.  50% of loans made to small business under $100,000 are made by Community Bankers, as well as 33% of small business loans under $1,000,000.

But as the Administration says lend, lend, & lend, the banking regulators are busy pushing banks to increase loan loss reserves, increase capital levels, increase classification of non-accrual loans, and have made any loan where a commercial building is involved a four letter word.  This pressure is precisely pro-cyclical, reducing capital which in turn reduces a bank’s ability to lend; remember for every $1 in capital a bank has, it can lend approximately $12 while maintaining an 8% capital ratio, a very conservative number. Banks are considered to be “Well Capitalized” when they have Tier One Risk Based capital of 6%, yet some banks are being pressured to operate at much higher levels of 8%, 10% or higher. 

This disconnect has to end. While I certainly understand the calls for additional lending, as well as the conservative stance being taking by regulators, if we hope to help small business in this country, all the interested parties need to get together and work toward a plan that will accomplish a unified goal. It is a known fact that 70% of new jobs are generally created by small businesses, and that the banks that best understand those businesses are Community Banks. Government should create programs that will provide loan guarantees, government debt subordination, tax free interest for community banks that lend, streamlined loan application process, and tax holidays for Community Banks that provide a certain level of increased lending…Regulators need to be a part of this process and create some temporary relief for paying & performing loans that may be stressed, capital requirements for well run institutions, and work in partnership with the Administration and the 8,000 Community Banks that are suffering from the macro effects of the irresponsibly that has produced this economic and financial mess.

Together, we can rebuild our economy and get back on track to create the much needed jobs that have been so elusive…

All Commercial Real Estate (CRE) is not the same…

Monday, November 23rd, 2009

There certainly is a glaring difference between the Commercial Real Estate(CRE) loan underwritten for Peter Cooper Village/Stuyvesant Town in New York City, where forward looking pro formas based on non-existent future cash flow took place, and the underwriting of a 20 unit apartment building in our local market, based on a rent stabilized, and rent controlled environment with predictable cash flows, or the commercial office real estate owned by a local doctor group that houses their offices, where they tend to their patients in the community …  Yet the media, along with most of the bank regulators place all of these loans in the same bucket.

The public perception is that all CRE is risky, and that banks engaging in CRE lending are therefore risky, is a perception that is more damaging to sustained growth in our economy than the sub-prime mess that started it all.

The FDIC has created “guidance” that was adopted in 2006 and revised in 2008 that is now being looked at as a “bright line in the sand” by most examiners and regulators. No such line has been created for Residential Mortgages, or any sub-type of those loans.  Our regulators should take a more reasoned approach at creating additional buckets based on risk, and not cut off the only remaining source of funding left for the small business owner on Main Street.  And what happens to the borrower with perfect credit, terrific cash flow, substantial collateral that are approaching the end of their term, and need to refinance? Who will be able to finance their loan? What will that mean to our economy?

The Treasury Secretary talks about how banks should be encouraged to increase lending to help restore growth in our business community. How will local businesses be able to finance their growth, or more importantly how will start up businesses be able to obtain financing to purchase the real estate needed for a restaurant, office, manufacturing facility, etc in this environment.

 Prudent underwriting should always prevail, and the banks that get it right should not have to labor under “guidance turned into policy” designed for all banks which range in every size, and in every state, and in every part of the country regardless of their track record…

NJCB continues strong, stable growth in 3rd Quarter

Monday, November 16th, 2009

The third quarter of 2009 continued to show great growth for our bank.  In the quarter, we continued to demonstrate the strength and stability of our bank with profits of $612 thousand, as compared to $480 thousand in the same period of 2008. Also impressive is the growth of our year to date profit of $1.486 million in 2009 from $805 thousand in 2008.  This was clearly the most profitable quarter in our existence, and comes in conjunction with growing our assets from $473 million to $491 million, our loans $343 million to $371 million, and our deposits $398 million to $415 million, quarter over quarter. Equally as important, this growth in profitability and size was accomplished while increasing our loan loss allowance.  While, expecting not to have to tap into loan loss reserves in any meaningful way, the Bank’s management and Board of Directors thought it was important and prudent to build our reserves in anticipation of a further worsening of the credit market. Additionally, and perhaps most importantly, we are very proud of recently achieving and exceeding the $500 Million in Assets milestone.

The continuing freeze up at the national bank level continues to present great opportunities for us.  We have been quite successful in winning business from our local community bank competitors that have “buried their head in the sand” in the hope of waiting out this economic crises. We understand that this is the new normal, and are searching out quality, profitable banking relationships.

Our Residential Mortgage Division is very busy and provides a new source of business development that has positively affected the bank. If you are in the market for a new mortgage or interested in refinancing your existing mortgage, please give us a call.

Our new Headquarter facility is nearing completion, and provides us with the ability to continue to expand, as well as the addition of new services such as a drive-thru and drive-up ATM. We will keep you updated on the progress and timing of this exciting move.

In keeping up with our motto of being “A Better Place To Be” we are working hard to help those who are less fortunate by sponsoring a food drive for the Center for Food Action. Please stop by one our branches for information or call us to see how you might be able to participate. It is times like this that we can truly see the quality of our employees as they volunteer to help in this time of need.

In closing, we are working hard to produce all of these extraordinary results, and we appreciate all the help that our shareholders have provided.

Be careful what we wish for…

Monday, October 5th, 2009

In the aftermath of what appears to be the biggest financial catastrophe of this century, it has become commonplace to call for more regulation, more capital, less diversity and less risk. The implications of these calls will have far reaching consequences that may not produce the results that were intended.

In trying to save the financial system, Regulators have forced the mergers and acquisitions of Too Big to Fail institutions which have actually created even larger, and more systemically important institutions.  Expect that membership in the Trillion-Dollar-Plus balance sheets to rise even further, even though there is a cap on national deposits at 10%.

Regulation meant to protect consumers may actually cause higher fees, less options, and the destruction of many smaller community banks that cannot function under the cost burden of all the additional regulation.

The call for additional capital for financial institutions which may be needed for riskier companies, would also serve to reduce lending, and cause the forced mergers of many smaller banks. This mass consolidation will withdraw lending from many businesses and communities that are not attractive to the national banks, and will stifle the entrepreneurial enterprises that need a banking relationship which cannot be described on a standard loan form.

So while the big get bigger, the forces at work are conspiring to stall the formation of new community banks, and make all community banks under $1 Billion in size uneconomical to operate… This is a very serious state of affairs. Ninety two percent of the 8200 banks in the United States are under $1 billion in assets… For small businesses on Main Street’s all across this country, this situation could be disastrous. 

Existing banks will need to absorb most of the products and services previously provided by the shadow banking system, and this may not occur in a smooth and stable process. It is important however to keep in perspective that we will never be able to regulate for every future problem that may arise. In some cases, the failure we are experiencing was not due to lack of regulation, as much as the lack of application of existing regulations…

There are a great number of community banks that have played by the rules, and provide a sorely needed service to our vast majority of businesses on Main Street. Let’s be careful in how we seek to rectify the problems mostly created by the non-bank banks, and not over-burden the banks that will be needed to restart our economy…

Mark-to-Market….”Bayonetting the Wounded”

Friday, August 14th, 2009

The Accounting Board’s discussion of a return to Mark-to-Market for banks and financial institutions has the potential to be a disaster to the economic health of our country. Trying to value Level Three Assets such as loans would cause wild swings in the capital base of banks on a quarter by quarter basis. In rising interest rate environments, as we are certain to experience in the near future, bank’s capital would be wiped out even though their loan portfolios are performing… Community Banks which typically have high loan to deposit ratios, and where the majority of their balance sheet contain portfolio loans, would suffer disproportionately from banks that retain no interest in the loans underwritten. Lending would cease in times of irrational or illiquid markets, as would capital investment. Without investment in banking, lending would certainly dry up and the economy would move into a deflationary environment…

FASB needs to carefully consider these issues, and be aware that even the discussion of a move toward Mark-to-Market could cause significant harm to the financial industry, and its ability to raise capital…

Click here to watch my discussion with CNBC’s Larry Kudlow on this topic.